BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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North Dakota St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 1 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (12-2) Overall Strength =  141.88

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/27/2016 Home    W   132.62  24  17   1B   9 (  7-  4) Charleston Southern    -8.66     15.66                      
  2 09/10/2016 Home    W   144.19  50  44   1B   2 ( 12-  2) Eastern Washington      2.91      3.09                      
  3 09/17/2016 Away    W   152.39  23  21   1A  28 (  8-  5) Iowa                   11.11     -9.11                      
  4 10/01/2016 Home    W * 146.20  31  10   1B  12 (  6-  6) Illinois St             4.92     16.08                      
  5 10/08/2016 Away    W * 133.45  27   3   1B  68 (  4-  7) Missouri St            -7.83 *   31.83                      
  6 10/15/2016 Home    L * 128.53  17  19   1B   6 (  9-  4) South Dakota St       -12.75     10.75                      
  7 10/22/2016 Away    W * 131.83  21  13   1B  22 (  6-  5) Western Illinois       -9.45     17.45                      
  8 10/29/2016 Away    W * 140.53  24  20   1B   5 (  5-  6) Northern Iowa          -0.75      4.75                      
  9 11/05/2016 Home    W * 154.05  24   3   1B   4 ( 12-  3) Youngstown St          12.77      8.23                      
 10 11/12/2016 Home    W * 138.17  41  17   1B  41 (  4-  7) Indiana St             -3.11     27.11                      
 11 11/19/2016 Away    W * 131.53  28  21   1B  20 (  4-  7) South Dakota           -9.75     16.75                      
 12 12/03/2016 Home    W   156.85  45   7   1B  30 ( 10-  2) San Diego              15.57     22.43                      
 13 12/10/2016 Home    W * 156.53  36  10   1B   6 (  9-  4) South Dakota St        15.25     10.75                      
 14 12/16/2016 Home    L   131.07  17  27   1B   3 ( 13-  1) James Madison         -10.21      0.21                      
      Averages             141.28  29.1 16.6

Best game:  156.85 = 38 point win over San Diego
Worst game: 128.53 = 2 point loss to South Dakota St
Team stdev:  10.35